|
THE STOCK BOARD
Where big tech finished
Tuesday, September 29 close · USD · Daily change
Mag 7 plus AMD, Broadcom and Micron. C&C’s editorial watchlist.
| Stock |
Close |
Day |
| Apple |
$329.40 |
−2.66% |
| Microsoft |
$508.96 |
−0.05% |
| Nvidia |
$227.21 |
−0.72% |
| Amazon |
$246.67 |
+0.21% |
| Alphabet |
$340.92 |
−0.53% |
| Meta |
$738.79 |
+3.24% |
| Tesla |
$352.84 |
−1.29% |
| AMD |
$607.57 |
−0.05% |
| Broadcom |
$355.10 |
+1.58% |
| Micron |
$1,065.08 |
+1.05% |
Meta led this group; Apple had the largest decline. The Nasdaq-100 ETF, QQQ, gained 0.19%, while the S&P 500 ETF, SPY, slipped 0.18%. The mixed finish leaves room for individual company news to matter this morning.
|
|
AI & BUSINESS · AMZN / GOOGL
Amazon and Google help sell Claude, too.
TechCrunch / Wikimedia Commons. Dario Amodei, 2023. CC BY 2.0.
Reuters reports that 47% of Anthropic’s 2025 sales—about $2.16 billion—went through Amazon and Google’s cloud marketplaces.
That is distribution dependence. It does not mean Amazon and Google themselves bought 47% of Anthropic’s output.
Those channels bring Claude to businesses already buying cloud services. The cost: about $351 million in distribution fees, roughly 16 cents per dollar sold through them.
For AMZN and GOOGL shareholders, that adds distribution income to the computing bill. For Anthropic investors, two important suppliers and investors also control major routes to customers—and sell competing models. Reuters explains the arrangements.
|
|
AROUND THE MARKET · CCL
Carnival’s customers are still booking.
kees torn / Wikimedia Commons. Mardi Gras, 2020. CC BY-SA 2.0.
Carnival jumped 13.41% Tuesday, lifting Royal Caribbean 7.45% and Norwegian 3.42%. The company’s results gave investors a reason to look past higher fuel costs: bookings for 2027 were running at records for both occupancy and prices.
Customer deposits reached $7.6 billion, up $500 million from the previous third-quarter record. Those deposits are cash collected ahead of trips, not revenue already earned. They nevertheless offer a useful check on whether customers are putting money behind their travel plans.
Carnival also cut fuel use per available berth day by 3.8%. Better efficiency and stronger pricing helped absorb the cost of keeping ships moving. The question now is how much of that cushion survives if fuel stays expensive. The results include bookings, deposits and fuel assumptions.
|
|
OVERNIGHT · BA
Boeing gets the Navy’s call.
NAVAIR / Boeing. Artist’s rendering; approved for public release.
After Tuesday’s close, the U.S. Navy selected Boeing for the F/A-XX, its next-generation carrier-based fighter. Boeing described a multibillion-dollar award without giving an exact value in its announcement.
It adds another long-running defense program alongside the Air Force’s F-47. Development contracts take years to turn into delivered aircraft and profits, so the award’s size alone won’t settle questions about eventual returns. Boeing’s announcement and aircraft rendering.
|
|
ON THE RADAR
Two more worth knowing
Tesla has arranged $30 billion of borrowing capacity. The facilities were undrawn when disclosed, and Tesla said it did not currently plan to draw them in 2026. This gives the company financing flexibility; it isn’t $30 billion of new cash already spent. The filing breakdown.
Apple may speed up its release schedule. Bloomberg reports that CEO John Ternus wants quicker launches and fewer management layers. The potential payoff is getting products to customers sooner; frequent launches still need products people want. The reported plans.
|
|
EARNINGS AHEAD · MU / NKE
Micron tonight. Nike tomorrow.
Thingreenline4546 / Wikimedia Commons. Taichung, 2023. CC BY-SA 4.0.
Micron’s call is at 4:30 p.m. ET today. Its prior-quarter revenue was $41.46 billion; management’s latest outlook put this quarter at $50 billion, plus or minus $1 billion. That is company guidance, not a reported result.
Listen for how much growth comes from higher memory prices, how much from shipping more, and what high-bandwidth memory demand means for future margins. Capacity spending matters because today’s shortages can eventually encourage tomorrow’s extra supply. Micron’s official call notice.
Brandon Carson; crop by Another Believer / Wikimedia Commons. Nike campus, 2010. CC BY 2.0.
Nike reports Thursday at about 4:15 p.m. ET, with a 5 p.m. call. The questions are more familiar: is Greater China stabilizing, are wholesale relationships improving, and is less discounting helping gross margin? An improvement in revenue is worth less if promotions swallow the profit. The regional mix and margin outlook will tell us more about the recovery. Nike’s official earnings notice.
|
|
UPGRADES, DOWNGRADES & TARGETS
The Street changes its numbers
PepsiCo — downgrade, September 29. JPMorgan moved from Overweight to Neutral and cut its target from $170 to $138. Its concern was that the North American recovery had stalled while costs rose. Rating history.
Best Buy — target increase, September 29. Evercore ISI raised its target from $85 to $90, keeping its In Line rating. That’s a higher valuation estimate, not a rating upgrade. The analyst record.
|
|
MACRO IN A MINUTE
Two times to keep handy
8:30 a.m. ET: August personal income and spending, including PCE inflation, plus the third estimate of second-quarter GDP and the annual update. For stocks, inflation can alter expectations for rates and the returns investors demand from future profits. BEA’s schedule.
3:30 p.m. ET: Trump is scheduled to make an announcement with the Commerce Secretary. The public calendar doesn’t establish the topic, so we’re not calling it a trade or tariff announcement in advance. The published schedule.
|
Forwarded this email?
Get Cash & Chaos in your inbox. Markets, money and the madness in between.
|
|